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Real-money prediction markets powered by LMSR pricing. Early movers get better odds. Your track record is permanent.

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Beta · 2026 targets

$1M
2026 volume goal
500+
Markets target
5,000
Bettors target
2%
Fee on winnings
SPORTSWill Craig Gordon play in Scotland's first World Cup match in 2026?50%·SPORTSWill Marco Silva win a major trophy with Benfica within 18 months?50%·SPORTSWill Serena Williams win the Queen's doubles title by June 21, 2026?50%·SPORTSWill Real Madrid sign Julian Alvarez by August 31, 2026?50%·SPORTSWill Serena Williams win her next match at Queen's 2026?50%·SPORTSWill England qualify for the 2027 Women's World Cup by the end of qualifying?50%·SPORTSWill Bukayo Saka start England's opening World Cup match on June 21, 2026?50%·POLITICSWill X remove the fake Bank of England AI ads within 7 days?50%·FINANCEWill Kalshi implement mandatory employment disclosure rules for all users by end of 2026?50%·FINANCEWill Beauty Pie face regulatory fines or mandatory ad removal within 90 days?50%·GEOPOLITICSWill the US launch a military strike against Iran within 14 days?50%·FINANCEWill TSMC raise semiconductor prices by at least 5% by end of Q4 2026?50%·SPORTSWill Craig Gordon play in Scotland's first World Cup match in 2026?50%·SPORTSWill Marco Silva win a major trophy with Benfica within 18 months?50%·SPORTSWill Serena Williams win the Queen's doubles title by June 21, 2026?50%·SPORTSWill Real Madrid sign Julian Alvarez by August 31, 2026?50%·SPORTSWill Serena Williams win her next match at Queen's 2026?50%·SPORTSWill England qualify for the 2027 Women's World Cup by the end of qualifying?50%·SPORTSWill Bukayo Saka start England's opening World Cup match on June 21, 2026?50%·POLITICSWill X remove the fake Bank of England AI ads within 7 days?50%·FINANCEWill Kalshi implement mandatory employment disclosure rules for all users by end of 2026?50%·FINANCEWill Beauty Pie face regulatory fines or mandatory ad removal within 90 days?50%·GEOPOLITICSWill the US launch a military strike against Iran within 14 days?50%·FINANCEWill TSMC raise semiconductor prices by at least 5% by end of Q4 2026?50%·

How it works

Three steps to your first win

From sign-up to first payout in under five minutes.

01

Pick a market

Browse hundreds of live questions across crypto, politics, sports, science, and more. New markets open every day.

02

Buy YES or NO shares

LMSR pricing means odds move with every trade. Early believers get the best prices — conviction is rewarded.

03

Cash out when right

Markets resolve to the truth. Winning shares pay out at $1. Your Brier score tracks your calibration over time.

Why Claubet

Built for serious forecasters

Fair markets

LMSR Pricing

Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule: a continuous automated market maker. No counterparty needed — buy or sell any time at a fair price.

Alpha advantage

Early Mover Edge

Buy before the crowd moves the odds. The first bettors on the right side of history earn the highest return on their stake.

Track record

Calibration Scores

Your Brier score across every domain you trade. The leaderboard shows who actually knows their stuff — not just who got lucky once.

Markets

What's trading now

View all
geopolitics

Will other African nations demand tariff exemptions from China within 90 days?

50%
YES
50% YES50% NO
$0 vol·0 bets
geopolitics

Will the US complete its troop reduction in Germany by end of 2026?

50%
YES
50% YES50% NO
$0 vol·0 bets
sports

Will Lindsey Vonn announce her retirement from professional skiing by end of 2026?

50%
YES
50% YES50% NO
$0 vol·0 bets

Leaderboard

Top forecasters

Ranked by Brier score — the only metric that can't be gamed by volume alone.

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